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September 22, 2022
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How accurate are polls in Canada? Less than you think!
If you want more updates, follow me on Twitter . I'll post new projections later today, I want to wait for the new Nanos numbers. E...
April 18th: new AR and Leger polls showing NDP surge
We've got two new (large) polls, from Angus-Reid and Leger. Both show a big lead for the Tories, including in Ontario. But they mostly s...
Any request?
It's a beautiful Saturday here in Vancouver and I won't be working this afternoon. However, I have a few ideas for some posts, such ...
25 septembre: un regard sur la situation au Québec
Le Québec joue un rôle central dans n'importe quelle élection fédérale mais c'est d'autant plus le cas cette année car cette pr...
Final projections for the Federal Election 2015: Liberal minority, surprises possible
After the longest campaign in Canadian history, it appears voters have made their choice and will elect a Liberal minority on Monday. There...
April 28th: new projections show NDP as official opposition
Harris-Decima finally released a new poll. They were pretty much the only pollster which didn't publish a poll since the NDP's surge...
2 years later, Justin Trudeau heavily favourite for re-election
I just finished the first version of the 2019 model and we have two new polls, one from Abacus and one, today, from Mainstreet Research to...
Ontario Conservatives still heavily favourites but NDP on the rise
As the election officially started in Ontario, some potentially important variations have occurred . The NDP in particular seems to be on t...
Some comments about the debate
We don't know yet who won the debate. Yes, yes, you can have the pundits' opinion on CBC or CTV, but the real test will be to see ho...
April 6th: New projections. Majority slipping away from the Tories
With a couple of newly released polls from Nanos, Ekos and Harris-Decima in the last few days, it is time for a major update to the seats pr...
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