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July 07, 2010
Welcome to my new blog for electoral forecasting.
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The chances of a majority are falling for Ford while polls disagree with each others
Yesterday, we got the latest Ipsos poll . And for the first time during this campaign, it was showing the NDP ahead (by 1 point) among deci...
How accurate are polls in Canada? Less than you think!
If you want more updates, follow me on Twitter . I'll post new projections later today, I want to wait for the new Nanos numbers. E...
Ontario election: What is Google Trends showing?
Using searches on Google can be useful during an election . There seems to be at the very least a correlation between the quantity of searc...
Final projections for the Federal Election 2015: Liberal minority, surprises possible
After the longest campaign in Canadian history, it appears voters have made their choice and will elect a Liberal minority on Monday. There...
BC poll: The Green Party continues to rise, especially on the island.
The latest BC poll by Mainstreet shows the BC Green party continuing its progression, now reaching 19% (among decided and leaning) and eve...
5 septembre 2012: Post-mortem détaillé
Quelle soirée électorale! Entre la surprise Libérale (ce parti était même en tête pendant une partie de la soirée), la relative déconvenue/...
L'effet Couillard
Le chef Libéral a décidé de se présenter dans Roberval lors des prochaines élections générales. Cela sera la troisième circonscription pour...
May 2nd 2013: New Angus-Reid poll shows a much tighter race
If you have twitter and are following the BC election, you probably saw the new poll for CTV by Angus-Reid . After almost 3 weeks of campai...
Les sondages par circonscription indiquent un raz de marée CAQ. Ont-ils raison?
Nous sommes à 4 jours du premier débat des chefs (ce jeudi à 20h) et nous avons officiellement eu un seul sondage public durant cette campa...
Elizabeth May leading in her riding?
A short post where I thought I would let you know of this poll conducted in the riding of Saanish-Gulf Islands where Elizabeth May is runni...
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