Too Close To Call

Si la Tendance se Maintient

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Archive for July 2010

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Welcome to my new blog for electoral forecasting.

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Post-Mortem canada 2019: Trudeau pulls a Trump, NDP vote not coming out

After what will likely not be remembered as a great election, Justin Trudeau managed to win a surprisingly strong minority. This happened w...
Un regard sur le Québec (et surtout le Bloc) à 3 jours du scrutin

On est dans la dernière ligne droite. On le sait car les chefs des partis ont déjà commencé à parler de qui devrait former le gouvernement ...
Final projections for Canada 2019: a minority

Note: a French article about Quebec only is available here . After almost 10 years of writing on this blog, I finally have final projec...
[Sondage après débat] Qui a remporté le débat des chefs?

Vous savez comment ça fonctionne. Deux questions. Qui a remporté le débat des chefs? Justin Trudeau Andrew Scheer Jagmeet Si...
Projections update October 15th: the NDP getting more competitive in BC and the Prairies

While advance voting is over (and I discuss here, in French , why an increase in advance voting won't necessarily translates into a h...