Welcome to my new blog for electoral forecasting.
July 07, 2010
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After what will likely not be remembered as a great election, Justin Trudeau managed to win a surprisingly strong minority. This happened w... -
We finally got some new polls for the recently started BC election. Overall they continue to show what we knew: the NDP is ahead and in majo... -
On est dans la dernière ligne droite. On le sait car les chefs des partis ont déjà commencé à parler de qui devrait former le gouvernement ... -
After hours and hours (omg so many hours) of waiting for the Conservatives to find a way to open and count ballots, Erin O'Toole won t... -
The BC election is underway, although I wouldn't blame you for not knowing. I'm pretty sure you heard more about the new Supreme Cou... -
Note: a French article about Quebec only is available here . After almost 10 years of writing on this blog, I finally have final projec... -
Three years after Andrew Scheer dramatically defeated Maxime Bernier on the 13th and last round (after being behind for the first 12th!), w... -
Note: if you want the long analysis of the projections, this post in English is for you. Si vous voulez une analyse détaillées des projecti... -
The BC election is officially on Saturday October 24th. However, many people have already voted by mail. Elections BC has statistics about t... -
Alright, busy weekend for me. So let,s go straight to the numbers. The late trend is favourable to the Liberals who have increased their ...
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