Too Close To Call

Si la Tendance se Maintient

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Archive for July 2010

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Welcome to my new blog for electoral forecasting.

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BC referendum post-mortem: why were the polls so wrong?

I'm a little bit late for this analysis but you know how it is with Christmas and all. The results for the referendum on electoral ...
Who can't wait for the results and would like a poll?

The voting period for the referendum on electoral reform is coming to an end this Friday at 4:30pm. We won't know the results for...
Final projections for Alberta 2019: United Conservatives with a majority

Here we are, my final projections for what has been, essentially, the most boring election I've covered. Sorry Albertans, but that'...
What can we learn from the early turnout in the BC referendum on electoral reform?

This morning, as they do every day, Elections BC reported on how many ballots had been received and screened by them. The screening part i...
New Mainstreet poll confirms the BC referendum on electoral reform to be a 50-50 race

Just a few days after I published my own poll (conducted using Google Survey) on the referendum on electoral reform in BC, we now have a n...