Welcome to my new blog for electoral forecasting.
July 07, 2010
Popular Posts
-
The post-debate surge for the Bloc appears to be real. All of a sudden, Yves-François Blanchet is back over 30 seats and can even dream of 4... -
Who won the English leaders' debate? Justin Trudeau Erin O'Toole Jagmeet Singh Annamie Paul Yves-Francois Blanchet None www.survey...
-
Here we are after 36 days of an election in the middle of a pandemic. Canadians are getting used to those though. So here's the executiv... -
This will likely be my last update before the final projections on Sunday. The race remains tight but the Liberals have a clear advantage th... -
A few polls added, some good for the Tories (new Nanos with the lead in Ontario), some very bad (Mainstreet). Overall a stable situation eve... -
Quick update with many new polls today (Ipsos and the usual from the daily trackers). One clear trend is that the Liberals are dropping in Q... -
A ton of polls over the last two days but no big changes to the projections. We are so close to 2019m in the big provinces (Quebec, Ontario)... -
While it's too early to assess the impact of the French debate of last Thursday -- despite what some might tell you online -- polls have... -
Right before the two official debates, here are the most up to date projections. They use all the polls published today, including the Leger... -
Reminder: you can use the model with your own number here . And follow me on Twitter if you want more regular updates. Short post where I j...