Too Close To Call

Si la Tendance se Maintient

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Archive for July 2010

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Welcome to my new blog for electoral forecasting.

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Post-Mortem canada 2019: Trudeau pulls a Trump, NDP vote not coming out

After what will likely not be remembered as a great election, Justin Trudeau managed to win a surprisingly strong minority. This happened w...
Final projections for Canada 2019: a minority

Note: a French article about Quebec only is available here . After almost 10 years of writing on this blog, I finally have final projec...
September 28th: Liberals still slightly ahead. Diverging polls in the GTA

Quick update to the projections. Almost nothing changes as the polling average hasn't really moved either. Mainstreet has had the Liber...
Un regard sur le Québec (et surtout le Bloc) à 3 jours du scrutin

On est dans la dernière ligne droite. On le sait car les chefs des partis ont déjà commencé à parler de qui devrait former le gouvernement ...
[Sondage après débat] Qui a remporté le débat des chefs?

Vous savez comment ça fonctionne. Deux questions. Qui a remporté le débat des chefs? Justin Trudeau Andrew Scheer Jagmeet Si...