Too Close To Call

Si la Tendance se Maintient

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Archive for July 2010

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Welcome to my new blog for electoral forecasting.

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With one week left, United Conservatives cruising to a majority in Alberta

Let's be honest: this 2019 Alberta election wasn't expected to be interesting (in terms of the horse race itself) and we are gettin...
Final projections for Alberta 2019: United Conservatives with a majority

Here we are, my final projections for what has been, essentially, the most boring election I've covered. Sorry Albertans, but that'...
The Alberta 2019 model (and simulator) is here!

I'm back after a few months of what I thought was a well deserved break after a busy (and successful for me, minus the damned BC refe...
BC referendum post-mortem: why were the polls so wrong?

I'm a little bit late for this analysis but you know how it is with Christmas and all. The results for the referendum on electoral ...
How did polls perform for the 2015 Alberta election?

First of all, the good news: the polls did much better this time around than 3 years ago when they were all predicting a Wildrose win and ...